A pair of ninth-place Big 12 teams will square off on Monday night when the Texas Longhorns (16-9) host the Kansas State Wildcats (15-10). Texas is looking to bounce back from an 82-61 loss at No. 3 Houston on Saturday in a game that the Longhorns never led. Kansas State has lost six of its last seven games, falling to TCU by three points on Saturday. This is the lone meeting between the Longhorns and Wildcats this season. 

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET on Monday at the Moody Center. The Longhorns are favored by 8.5 points in the latest Texas vs. Kansas State odds, while the over/under is 142 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Kansas State vs. Texas picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 16 of the 2023-24 season on a 135-89 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,500 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 25-13 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Kansas State vs. Texas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:

  • Texas vs. Kansas State spread: Texas -8.5
  • Texas vs. Kansas State over/under: 142 points
  • Texas vs. Kansas State money line: Texas -409, Kansas State +316
  • Texas vs. Kansas State picks: See picks here

Why Texas can cover

Texas has been inconsistent lately, but it has picked up three wins over top-25 teams along with a 94-58 win over West Virginia in the past month. The Longhorns struggled on Saturday against No. 3 Houston, which is the top-ranked team in KenPom's metrics. Dylan Disu led Texas with 16 points and seven rebounds in that loss, and he is averaging 16.9 points per game this season. 

Senior guard Max Abmas, who is the NCAA's active career leading scorer, is averaging 17.3 points, 4.4 assists and 3.1 rebounds per game. Junior guard Tyrese Hunter (11.1) and sophomore forward Dillon Mitchell (10.6) are both scoring in double figures as well. Kansas State has lost six of its last seven games and has not won a road game since beating West Virginia on Jan. 9. 

Why Kansas State can cover

While Kansas State has dropped six of its last seven games, it has been within two possessions in each of its last three losses. The Wildcats knocked off then-No. 4 Kansas two weeks ago, as senior guard Tylor Perry poured in 26 points and dished out four assists. Junior guard Cam Carter added 19 points, 11 rebound and two assists in a double-double effort. 

Carter leads Kansas State with 15.5 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while Perry is averaging 15.2 points and 4.6 assists. Junior forward Arthur Kaluma is also in double figures with 14.4 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. Texas was outrebounded by 11 in its loss to Houston and finished with its lowest offensive output of the year. See which team to pick here.

How to make Texas vs. Kansas State picks

The model has simulated Kansas State vs. Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas vs. Kansas State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 135-89 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.