When drafting your Fantasy Football team for 2024, you should never do it based just on one list. Whether it's rankings, projections, tiers, or average draft position, using any of these by themselves is going to lead to value missed. With that in mind, I have created tiers below that are mostly based on my projections. If you use these in conjunction with ADP, you'll be on the right path.
At wide receiver, we're all still waiting on the other show to drop with the Brandon Aiyuk situation. If he's traded to Pittsburgh that will have big implications for his value and the value of George Pickens and Deebo Samuel. For now, they all reside in what I like to call the mega tier. Starting with WR14 and extending to WR31, the mega tier includes 18 wide receivers who all project for somewhere between 13.42 and 14.04 PPR FPPG. I'm not exactly sure where Aiyuk will fall if he's traded, but Samuel would move up out of this tier and Pickens would move down out of this tier.
One of the ways you can use tiers in conjunction with ADP is to target receivers who are going much later but in the same tier. That's especially useful within the mega tier. As of Wednesday morning, in CBS ADP there are five wide receivers from this tier being selected in Round 3 and five more with an ADP in the top 50. Amari Cooper, Pickens, Tee Higgins, and Tank Dell are all being selected between picks 56 and 65. Those are great value, and wide receivers I often draft, but they aren't the best values according to our ADP. There are four more wide receivers with an ADP in Round 7, and if any of them fall that far in your draft I would view them as must-draft players:
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- Christian Kirk (74.3)
- Calvin Ridley (77.6)
- Chris Godwin (81.7)
- Rashee Rice (82.7)
The guy who should stick out here is Rice. His ADP has likely been held down by concerns about a suspension, but the closer we get to the start of the season, the less likely it seems he'll face any legal or league consequences in 2024. And it's worth noting that back in February when I first started working on my projections, the Chiefs' second-year wide receiver projected as a top-12 receiver for me, in a tier above this. I say that because we already see Rice's ADP rising, up six spots recently, I just don't think it will rise fast enough. I rank him in Round 4 and you can pretty much always find him in Round 5.
With the Marquise Brown injury, there's a legitimate chance that first projection I had on Rice is the right one. Remember, in the final 10 games of his rookie season, including the playoffs, he caught 69 passes for 790 yards and four scores. He averaged 8.9 targets per game in that stretch. And there's an argument to be made that adding field stretchers like Brown and Xavier Worthy will only make him more efficient in 2024.
Here are my wide receiver tiers for 2024: