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Max Verstappen was forced to retire from the Australian Grand Prix but he has won back-to-back races in Japan and China since then. The Formula 1 circuit heads to another place where Verstappen has had success this week for the 2024 Miami Grand Prix on Sunday at 4 p.m. ET. He has won each of the first two editions of this race and is the heavy -600 favorite (risk $600 to win $100) in the 2024 Miami Grand Prix odds. Some of the other names near the top of the F1 odds board include Sergio Perez (12-1), Charles Leclerc (18-1) and Lando Norris (18-1).

Perez has made the podium in four of the five races this season, and he finished second in this race last year. Should you include him in your 2024 Miami Grand Prix bets? Before analyzing the 2024 Miami Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Miami GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting nine NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory. 

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all four of the defending champion's wins to start the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 Miami Grand Prix projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Formula 1 Miami GP predictions

One surprise: The model is fading Norris, predicting he doesn't even make the podium even though he's one of the top favorites at +1800. Norris struggled in the first two editions of this race, retiring the first time before finishing outside the top 15 last year. He is still seeking his first win on the circuit after coming off a second-place finish in the Chinese Grand Prix.

In fact, he set a new F1 record for the most podium finishes (15) without a race win. Norris only has two podium finishes in his last seven starts though, and the pressure keeps mounting as he continues to seek his first win. The model has Norris missing the podium this week in a city that has not been kind to him in the first two editions of the race. See who else the model is backing and fading at the 2024 Miami Grand Prix right here.

How to make 2024 Miami Grand Prix picks

Instead, the model is targeting a driver going off longer than 40-1 to make a surprising surge up the leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the Miami Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Miami Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins last season, and find out.

2024 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders

See F1 Miami Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Max Verstappen -600
Sergio Perez +1200
Charles Leclerc +1800
Lando Norris +1800
Carlos Sainz +2200
Lewis Hamilton +4000
George Russell +4000
Oscar Piastri +5000
Fernando Alonso +6600
Lance Stroll +30000
Yuki Tsunoda +75000
Daniel Ricciardo +75000
Kevin Magnussen +100000
Pierre Gasly +100000
Nico Hulkenberg +100000
Alexander Albon +100000
Guanyu Zhou +100000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Valtteri Bottas +100000
Logan Sargeant +150000