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The 2024 Canadian Grand Prix will take place Sunday at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal. The race begins at 2 p.m. ET and the intensity is ratcheting up with Max Verstappen and Red Bull Racing's early leads in the F1 standings constricting. The Monaco Grand Prix was a disaster for the most dominant team in racing with Sergio Perez retired and Verstappen finishing sixth. Now Charles Leclerc has cut Verstappen's lead to 31 points and Ferrari is only 24 points behind Red Bull in the constructors' standings.

However, Verstappen is still the three-time defending world champion and he's the -200 favorite (bet $200 to win $100) in the 2024 Canadian Grand Prix odds after winning in Montreal the last two seasons. Leclerc is priced at +500 in the F1 at Montreal odds after his win in Monaco and McLaren's Lando Norris is +550 with his team also looking like serious challengers over the last month. Before analyzing the 2024 Canadian Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Canadian GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory. 

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all five of the defending champion's wins so far in the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 Canadian Grand Prix projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix predictions

One surprise: The model is high on Alexander Albon, predicting a points finish for a +340 payout. The 28-year-old Thai and British driver races for Williams-Mercedes and he's in his sixth full-time season in Formula 1. Albon finished top-10 in the F1 standings his first two seasons while racing primarily for Red Bull Racing but he was replaced by Sergio Perez prior to the 2021 season and has been with Williams ever since.

Albon had three finishes in the points during his first season with Williams and finished 19th in the standings but rebounded to put together seven top-10 finishes (the points threshold) in 2023 and finished 13th. That was the best finish for a Williams driver since 2017. He got off to a sluggish start in 2024 but is coming off a ninth-place finish in Monaco and the model is predicting another ninth-place finish in Montreal this weekend. See who else the model is backing and fading at the 2024 Canadian Grand Prix right here.

How to make 2024 Canadian Grand Prix picks

Instead, the model is targeting a driver going off longer than 50-1 to make a surprising surge up the leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the Canadian Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Canadian Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins last season and all five of his wins in 2024, and find out.

2024 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders

See F1 Canadian Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Max Verstappen -200
Charles Leclerc +500
Lando Norris +550
Oscar Piastri +1400
Carlos Sainz +2200
Sergio Perez +3300
George Russell +6600
Lewis Hamilton +6600
Fernando Alonso +11000
Yuki Tsunoda +25000
Daniel Ricciardo +40000
Lance Stroll +40000
Kevin Magnussen +50000
Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Alexander Albon +50000
Valtteri Bottas +75000
Esteban Ocon +75000
Guanyu Zhou +75000
Pierre Gasly +100000
Logan Sargeant +100000