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The Dallas Cowboys will try to get off to a strong start when they go on the road to face the Cleveland Browns during the Week 1 NFL schedule on Sunday afternoon. Dallas has won 12 games in each of the past three seasons, but it has been unable to get over the hump in the postseason. Cleveland leaned heavily on its stout defense last year before ultimately falling to Houston in a playoff loss. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2020 when Cleveland picked up a 49-38 road win in a shootout. 

Kickoff is scheduled at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Huntington Bank Field. Cleveland is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Browns vs. Cowboys odds, and the over/under is 41.5 points via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Cowboys vs. Browns picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has set its sights on Browns vs. Cowboys and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 1 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for spreadmoney line and over/under:

  • Browns vs. Cowboys spread: Browns -2.5
  • Browns vs. Cowboys over/under: 41.5 points
  • Browns vs. Cowboys money line: Browns -133, Cowboys +113
  • Browns vs. Cowboys picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Cowboys can cover

The Cowboys have one of the NFL's most explosive offenses. Quarterback Dak Prescott and wide receiver CeeDee Lamb are perennial Pro Bowl candidates, and both are coming off a massively productive season in 2023. Prescott threw for 4,516 yards, 36 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Lamb caught 135 passes for 1,749 yards and 12 touchdowns. 

Defensively, the Cowboys have the ability to wreak havoc on opposing offenses with their elite pass rush. All-Pro and Defensive Player of the Year candidate Micah Parsons leads the way for Dallas' defense. The three-time All-Pro finished with 64 total tackles, 14.0 sacks, and one forced fumble in 2023. See which team to pick here.

Why the Browns can cover

Cleveland was dominant at home last season, covering the spread in six consecutive home games to close the campaign. The Browns allowed a league-best 13.9 points per game in Cleveland, and they are facing a Dallas offense that dropped from the top-scoring unit overall to the 10th-best on the road last year. The Cowboys lost talent along their offensive line and star wide receiver CeeDee Lamb just started practicing last week. 

The Browns have quarterback Deshaun Watson back under center following a season-ending injury last year, and he is playing under new offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. They have tailored their offense around Watson's strengths, which is good news since running back Nick Chubb (knee) is out with an injury. Cleveland has covered the spread in five straight games against NFC East opponents, and Dallas only covered once in its final five games last season. See which team to pick here

How to make Browns vs. Cowboys picks

The model has simulated Browns vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Browns vs. Cowboys in Week 1, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Browns spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.